Estrategias transdisciplinarias para mitigar riesgos de inundaciones en megaciudades costeras
| Issue | Vol. 8 Núm. 1 (2025): Ciencia, Ingenierías y Aplicaciones |
| DOI | |
| Publicado | dic. 22, 2025 |
|
Estadísticas |
Magister en Ingeniería Geotécnica, Docente e investigador de la Universidad de Panamá, Panamá
Resumen
Las megaciudades costeras están cada vez más expuestas a los riesgos de inundaciones complejas debido a la urbanización y el cambio climático, que incluyen el aumento del nivel del mar, tormentas más severas y superficies impermeables. Esta revisión sistemática explora las estrategias transdisciplinarias para reducir estos riesgos mediante el uso de un marco que combina enfoques estadísticos, hidrodinámicos y soluciones basadas en la naturaleza. Se evalúan los retos de tales estrategias, como las comunidades de dependencias extremas, las marejadas ciclónicas y la subsidencia del suelo, así como las posibilidades derivadas de implementar medidas híbridas que integren infraestructura gris y verde para aumentar la resiliencia. Los principales hallazgos incluyen la necesidad de realizar modelados acoplados para evaluar interacciones entre varios factores y la necesidad de mantener un enfoque que incorpore perspectivas sociales para abordar las inequidades que afectan a las comunidades vulnerables. Se determinan las brechas en la cobertura geográfica, centrándose en el Sur Global, y se sugieren medidas para obtener una gobernanza inclusiva que favorezca la adaptación. Esta toma de conocimiento contribuye a mejorar las políticas encaminadas a transformar nuestras ciudades de forma sostenible, apoyando un mejor conocimiento de los saberes locales y científicos en la reducción de los impactos en ciudades como Shanghái, Nueva York y Mumbai y en la creación de un equilibrio entre la reducción del riesgo de inundaciones y los beneficios eco sistémicos.
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Green, J., Haigh, I. D., Quinn, N., Neal, J., Wahl, T., Wood, M., Eilander, D., de Ruiter, M., Ward, P., & Camus, P. (2025). Review article: A comprehensive review of compound flooding literature with a focus on coastal and estuarine regions. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 25(2), 747–776. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-747-2025
Han, S., & Tahvildari, N. (2024). Compound flooding hazards due to storm surge and pluvial flow in a low-gradient coastal region. Water Resources Research, 60(11), e2023WR037014. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023WR037014
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Jevrejeva, S., Calafat, F. M., De Dominicis, M., Hirschi, J. J.-M., Mecking, J. V., Polton, J. A., Sinha, B., Wise, A., & Holt, J. (2024). Challenges, advances and opportunities in regional sea level projections: The role of ocean-shelf dynamics. Earth’s Future, 12(8), e2024EF004886. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004886
Kasaei, S., Orton, P. M., Ralston, D. K., & Warner, J. C. (2025). Pluvial and potential compound flooding in a coupled coastal modeling framework: New York City during post-tropical Cyclone Ida (2021). Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 29, 2043–2058. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-2043-2025
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Muccione, V., Haasnoot, M., Alexander, P., Bednar-Friedl, B., Biesbroek, R., Georgopoulou, E., Le Cozannet, G., & Schmidt, D. N. (2024). Adaptation pathways for effective responses to climate change risks. WIREs Climate Change, 15, e883. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.883
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Petzold, J., Garschagen, M., Deshpande, S., et al. (2024). Identifying future challenges for climate change adaptation through insights from participatory scenario-downscaling in Mumbai. npj Climate Action, 3, 111. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-024-00197-z
Pirani, F. J., & Najafi, M. R. (2022). Multivariate analysis of compound flood hazard across Canada’s coastal areas. Earth’s Future, 10, e2022EF002655. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF002655
Radfar, S., Mahmoudi, S., Moftakhari, H., Meckley, T., Bilskie, M. V., Collini, R., Alizad, K., Cherry, J. A., & Moradkhani, H. (2024). Nature-based solutions as buffers against coastal compound flooding: Exploring potential framework for process-based modeling of hazard mitigation. Science of the Total Environment, 938, 173529. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173529
Ruan, X., Sun, H., Shou, W., & Wang, J. (2024). The impact of climate change and urbanization on compound flood risks in coastal areas: A comprehensive review of methods. Applied Sciences, 14(21), 10019. https://doi.org/10.3390/app142110019
Scheiber, L., Sairam, N., Jalloul, M. H., Shahi, K. R., Jordan, C., Visscher, J., Zadeh, T. E., Oostwegel, L. J. N., Schorlemmer, D., Son, N. T., Quan, H. N., Schlurmann, T., Garschagen, M., & Kreibich, H. (2024). Effective adaptation options to alleviate nuisance flooding in coastal megacities—Learning from Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. Earth’s Future, 12(11), e2024EF004766. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004766
Sun, H., Zhang, X., Ruan, X., Jiang, H., & Shou, W. (2024). Mapping compound flooding risks for urban resilience in coastal zones: A comprehensive methodological review. Remote Sensing, 16(2), 350. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16020350
Thaler, T., Hudson, P., Viavattene, C., & Green, C. (2023). Natural flood management: Opportunities to implement nature-based solutions on privately owned land. WIREs Water, 10(3), e1637. https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1637
Wannewitz, M., Ajibade, I., Mach, K. J., et al. (2024). Progress and gaps in climate change adaptation in coastal cities across the globe. Nature Cities, 1, 610–619. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44284-024-00106-9
Watkins, S., & Collins, A. (2025). From community engagement to community inclusion for socially and procedurally just flood risk governance. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 18, e13042. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.13042
Wu, Y., Haigh, I. D., Gao, C., Jenkins, L. J., Green, J., Jane, R., Xu, Y., Hu, H., & Wu, N. (2024). Compound flooding potential from the joint occurrence of precipitation and storm surge in the Qiantang Estuary, China. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 25(5), 735–753. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-23-0102.1
Xu, H., Ragno, E., Jonkman, S. N., Wang, J., Bricker, J. D., Tian, Z., & Sun, L. (2024). Combining statistical and hydrodynamic models to assess compound flood hazards from rainfall and storm surge: A case study of Shanghai. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28, 3919–3930. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3919-2024
Xu, H., Tian, Z., Sun, L., Ye, Q., Ragno, E., Bricker, J., Mao, G., Tan, J., Wang, J., Ke, Q., Wang, S., & Toumi, R. (2022). Compound flood impact of water level and rainfall during tropical cyclone periods in a coastal city: The case of Shanghai. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 22(7), 2347–2358. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2347-2022
Yin, D., Xu, C., Jia, H., Yang, Y., Sun, C., Wang, Q., & Liu, S. (2022). Sponge city practices in China: From pilot exploration to systemic demonstration. Water, 14(10), 1531. https://doi.org/10.3390/w14101531
Zhang, C., Lv, Y., Chen, J., Chen, T., Liu, J., Ding, L., Zhang, N., & Gao, Q. (2023). Comparisons of retention and lag characteristics of rainfall–runoff under different rainfall scenarios in low-impact development combination: A case study in Lingang New City, Shanghai. Water, 15(17), 3106. https://doi.org/10.3390/w15173106
Zhou, K., Kong, F., Yin, H., et al. (2024). Urban flood risk management needs nature-based solutions: A coupled social-ecological system perspective. npj Urban Sustainability, 4, 25. https://doi.org/10.1038/s42949-024-00162-z
Zimmermann, T., Shinde, S., Parthasarathy, D., & Narayanan, N. (2023). Linking climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction: Reconceptualizing flood risk governance in Mumbai. Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences, 20(1), 1–29. https://doi.org/10.1080/1943815X.2023.2169712
Bixler, R. P., Coudert, M., Richter, S. M., Jones, J. M., Llanes Pulido, C., Akhavan, N., Bartos, M., Passalacqua, P., & Niyogi, D. (2022). Reflexive co-production for urban resilience: Guiding framework and experiences from Austin, Texas. Frontiers in Sustainable Cities, 4, Article 1015630. https://doi.org/10.3389/frsc.2022.1015630
Cea, L., & Costabile, P. (2022). Flood risk in urban areas: Modelling, management and adaptation to climate change. A review. Hydrology, 9(3), 50. https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology9030050
Chiu, Y.-Y., Wu, Y.-H., Fu, K.-L., Lai, T.-C., Chen, H.-E., & Chen, S.-C. (2023). Nature-based solutions for disaster reduction and improving ecosystem services in the Hutoubi Watershed, Taiwan. Water, 15(14), 2527. https://doi.org/10.3390/w15142527
Ghanbari, M., Dell, T., Saleh, F., et al. (2024). Compounding effects of changing sea level and rainfall regimes on pluvial flooding in New York City. Natural Hazards, 120, 6377–6400. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06466-8
Green, J., Haigh, I. D., Quinn, N., Neal, J., Wahl, T., Wood, M., Eilander, D., de Ruiter, M., Ward, P., & Camus, P. (2025). Review article: A comprehensive review of compound flooding literature with a focus on coastal and estuarine regions. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 25(2), 747–776. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-747-2025
Han, S., & Tahvildari, N. (2024). Compound flooding hazards due to storm surge and pluvial flow in a low-gradient coastal region. Water Resources Research, 60(11), e2023WR037014. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023WR037014
Huynh, L. T. M., Su, J., Wang, Q., et al. (2024). Meta-analysis indicates better climate adaptation and mitigation performance of hybrid engineering–natural coastal defence measures. Nature Communications, 15, 2870. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-46970-w
Jevrejeva, S., Calafat, F. M., De Dominicis, M., Hirschi, J. J.-M., Mecking, J. V., Polton, J. A., Sinha, B., Wise, A., & Holt, J. (2024). Challenges, advances and opportunities in regional sea level projections: The role of ocean-shelf dynamics. Earth’s Future, 12(8), e2024EF004886. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004886
Kasaei, S., Orton, P. M., Ralston, D. K., & Warner, J. C. (2025). Pluvial and potential compound flooding in a coupled coastal modeling framework: New York City during post-tropical Cyclone Ida (2021). Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 29, 2043–2058. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-2043-2025
Magnan, A. K., Bell, R., Duvat, V. K. E., et al. (2023). Status of global coastal adaptation. Nature Climate Change, 13, 1213–1221. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01834-x
Manes, S., Vale, M. M., & Pires, A. P. F. (2024). Nature-based solutions potential for flood risk reduction under extreme rainfall events. Ambio, 53(8), 1168–1181. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-024-02005-8
Muccione, V., Haasnoot, M., Alexander, P., Bednar-Friedl, B., Biesbroek, R., Georgopoulou, E., Le Cozannet, G., & Schmidt, D. N. (2024). Adaptation pathways for effective responses to climate change risks. WIREs Climate Change, 15, e883. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.883
Paxton, A. B., Riley, T. N., Steenrod, C. L., et al. (2024). Evidence on the performance of nature-based solutions interventions for coastal protection in biogenic, shallow ecosystems: A systematic map. Environmental Evidence, 13, 28. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13750-024-00350-5
Petzold, J., Garschagen, M., Deshpande, S., et al. (2024). Identifying future challenges for climate change adaptation through insights from participatory scenario-downscaling in Mumbai. npj Climate Action, 3, 111. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-024-00197-z
Pirani, F. J., & Najafi, M. R. (2022). Multivariate analysis of compound flood hazard across Canada’s coastal areas. Earth’s Future, 10, e2022EF002655. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF002655
Radfar, S., Mahmoudi, S., Moftakhari, H., Meckley, T., Bilskie, M. V., Collini, R., Alizad, K., Cherry, J. A., & Moradkhani, H. (2024). Nature-based solutions as buffers against coastal compound flooding: Exploring potential framework for process-based modeling of hazard mitigation. Science of the Total Environment, 938, 173529. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173529
Ruan, X., Sun, H., Shou, W., & Wang, J. (2024). The impact of climate change and urbanization on compound flood risks in coastal areas: A comprehensive review of methods. Applied Sciences, 14(21), 10019. https://doi.org/10.3390/app142110019
Scheiber, L., Sairam, N., Jalloul, M. H., Shahi, K. R., Jordan, C., Visscher, J., Zadeh, T. E., Oostwegel, L. J. N., Schorlemmer, D., Son, N. T., Quan, H. N., Schlurmann, T., Garschagen, M., & Kreibich, H. (2024). Effective adaptation options to alleviate nuisance flooding in coastal megacities—Learning from Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. Earth’s Future, 12(11), e2024EF004766. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004766
Sun, H., Zhang, X., Ruan, X., Jiang, H., & Shou, W. (2024). Mapping compound flooding risks for urban resilience in coastal zones: A comprehensive methodological review. Remote Sensing, 16(2), 350. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16020350
Thaler, T., Hudson, P., Viavattene, C., & Green, C. (2023). Natural flood management: Opportunities to implement nature-based solutions on privately owned land. WIREs Water, 10(3), e1637. https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1637
Wannewitz, M., Ajibade, I., Mach, K. J., et al. (2024). Progress and gaps in climate change adaptation in coastal cities across the globe. Nature Cities, 1, 610–619. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44284-024-00106-9
Watkins, S., & Collins, A. (2025). From community engagement to community inclusion for socially and procedurally just flood risk governance. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 18, e13042. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.13042
Wu, Y., Haigh, I. D., Gao, C., Jenkins, L. J., Green, J., Jane, R., Xu, Y., Hu, H., & Wu, N. (2024). Compound flooding potential from the joint occurrence of precipitation and storm surge in the Qiantang Estuary, China. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 25(5), 735–753. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-23-0102.1
Xu, H., Ragno, E., Jonkman, S. N., Wang, J., Bricker, J. D., Tian, Z., & Sun, L. (2024). Combining statistical and hydrodynamic models to assess compound flood hazards from rainfall and storm surge: A case study of Shanghai. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28, 3919–3930. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3919-2024
Xu, H., Tian, Z., Sun, L., Ye, Q., Ragno, E., Bricker, J., Mao, G., Tan, J., Wang, J., Ke, Q., Wang, S., & Toumi, R. (2022). Compound flood impact of water level and rainfall during tropical cyclone periods in a coastal city: The case of Shanghai. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 22(7), 2347–2358. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2347-2022
Yin, D., Xu, C., Jia, H., Yang, Y., Sun, C., Wang, Q., & Liu, S. (2022). Sponge city practices in China: From pilot exploration to systemic demonstration. Water, 14(10), 1531. https://doi.org/10.3390/w14101531
Zhang, C., Lv, Y., Chen, J., Chen, T., Liu, J., Ding, L., Zhang, N., & Gao, Q. (2023). Comparisons of retention and lag characteristics of rainfall–runoff under different rainfall scenarios in low-impact development combination: A case study in Lingang New City, Shanghai. Water, 15(17), 3106. https://doi.org/10.3390/w15173106
Zhou, K., Kong, F., Yin, H., et al. (2024). Urban flood risk management needs nature-based solutions: A coupled social-ecological system perspective. npj Urban Sustainability, 4, 25. https://doi.org/10.1038/s42949-024-00162-z
Zimmermann, T., Shinde, S., Parthasarathy, D., & Narayanan, N. (2023). Linking climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction: Reconceptualizing flood risk governance in Mumbai. Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences, 20(1), 1–29. https://doi.org/10.1080/1943815X.2023.2169712
Control de inundaciones
zonas costeras
áreas urbanas
cambio climático
gestión de riesgos
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© Gabriel Montúfar, 2025
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Gabriel Montúfar
Magister en Ingeniería Geotécnica, Docente e investigador de la Universidad de Panamá, Panamá
Cómo citar
Estrategias transdisciplinarias para mitigar riesgos de inundaciones en megaciudades costeras. (2025). Ciencia, Ingenierías Y Aplicaciones, 8(1), 63-83. https://doi.org/10.22206/cite.2025.v8.3610

